Thursday, November 21, 2024

October Inflation in Poland at 4.1%: What It Means for Future Rate Decisions

We have received the final October reading of Polish inflation today. It stands at 4.1 percent year-on-year, which is 0.1 percentage point lower than predicted and 0.2 percentage points...

Geopolitical tension hit the Warsaw Stock Exchange

Another failed attempt to break through the resistance in the world's main currency pair....

War Back in the Forefront Again. Global Tensions and Their Consequences

The post-election relaxation of rules by the Biden administration has had a noticeable impact...

High energy prices postpone interest rate cuts in Poland

The Polish economy - like most European economies - is heavily dependent on the...

Core inflation in Poland is falling, but consumer inflation is rising. What’s next for interest rates in Poland?

Core inflation in Poland is falling, despite the rise in consumer inflation. At the...

Poland’s Economic Growth Forecast: Leading the EU Amid Inflation and Global Challenges

Economic forecasts for the upcoming years indicate a varied development dynamic across EU countries. According to the EY European Economic Outlook report, Poland's GDP...

Collapse of the Chinese real estate market – 70 million apartments waiting for buyers

70 million vacant houses in China have collapsed the domestic market. Investors briefly reacted enthusiastically to interest rate cuts and near-zero inflation. The main...

Are Consumers on the Verge of Exhaustion? An Analysis of the GUS Retail Sales Report

On Tuesday, October 22, Poland’s Central Statistical Office (GUS) published its report on retail sales. Typically, this reading interests only a narrow group of...

Inflation surge and pressure on the Fed – How will Trump’s victory affect the U.S. economy?

With less than two weeks to the U.S. elections, betting agencies are increasingly wagering on a Trump victory. This advantage has significantly increased in...

Disappointment with Retail Sales in Poland

The start of the week is marked by a lack of appetite for risk. Retail sales in Poland significantly lower than forecasts. Is this...

Poland’s economic credibility is progressively deteriorating, negatively affecting investors’ perception of the country

From this year's edition of the State Economic Credibility Index (IWEP), it appears that Poland is increasingly falling short, especially in the fields of...

ECB lowers interest rates by 25 bp – market expects further cuts, euro weakens against dollar

The European Central Bank (EBC) did as it suggested. The interest rate cut of 25 basis points was in line with market consensus. All...

EBC lowers interest rates in the EU

As expected after the previous EU inflation reading, the European Central Bank lowered interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, from 3.65% to 3.40%. Previous statements...

Pressure grows for interest rate cuts in Poland

The European Central Bank has cut the base interest rate by 0.25 percentage point to 3.25 percent. This is the third cut at consecutive...

September CPI Inflation Reading in the EU is Lower than Preliminary Reading

The final reading of the September CPI inflation indicator in the EU for September was 1.7 percent year on year and is lower than...

Demographic Shifts in Polish Cities: Aging Populations and Challenges for Health Services and Infrastructure

In the years 2021-2023, the median age increased in 58 cities and decreased only in seven. In 2023, the oldest inhabitants were in Sopot,...

Real Interest Rate and Political Costs: How the National Bank of Poland Affected Inflation and the Political Situation in Poland

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in 2023 was 11.5%, therefore an increase in the price of consumer goods and services of 4.9% over...

Trump wants to “help” the Fed

The US dollar continues to stay strong on the FX market. The Euro is waiting for tomorrow's ECB meeting. Lower inflation in the UK...

Aging Society and Lack of Skilled Workers: Poland Needs Immigrants to Avoid Crisis

In Poland, there are 22 million people of working age, with 17 million of them in employment. Of this group, just over a million...

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