Sunday, December 7, 2025

Country and Sector Risk Update: Overall Improvement, but Sector Details Tell a Different Story

Despite ongoing geopolitical turmoil—and even trade wars—country...

Poland Among Least Exposed to AI-Driven Job Losses

Poland and Advanced AI. Poland is relatively...

Hungary Slips to Bottom of EU Growth Rankings as GDP Stagnates and Industry Declines

Hungary’s economy remains at the back of the European Union. According to the second estimate published on 2 December by the Central Statistical Office (KSH), Hungary’s real GDP in...

Emerging-Market Central Banks at a Crossroads: Weak Dollar, Tight Constraints – and Why Poland Is an Outlier

Emerging markets are caught between a weak dollar and tight domestic constraints. Poland is...

Poland’s Central Bank Delivers Sixth Rate Cut This Year, Signals “Wait and See” Ahead

The Monetary Policy Council (RPP) continued its series of interest rate cuts on Wednesday,...

Revised Eurostat Data Show Stronger-Than-Expected Economic Pickup in Q3

Eurostat released revised economic growth data for the third quarter of 2025, showing that...

OECD Raises Global Growth Forecast to 3.2% for 2025, Despite Trump-Era Tariffs and Rising Trade Tensions

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has raised its global economic forecast,...

Farmers’ Pension Scheme Requires Deep Modernisation

Depopulation of rural areas and the ageing of society are increasingly affecting the financial stability of Poland’s farmers’ pension system. The number of people...

Business Registrations and Bankruptcies in Poland in Q3 2025: Services Grow, Retail Contracts

In the third quarter of 2025, 85,368 new businesses were registered in Poland, 27 more than a year earlier, while the number of bankruptcies...

Polish Economy Enters a “Stable but Unequal” Phase – Microbusinesses Bear the Cost of Adjustment

In the third quarter of 2025, 85,368 new businesses were registered in Poland, just 27 more than a year earlier, while 101 companies declared...

Polish Economy Accelerates: Industry, Consumption, and Investment Drive Growth, Inflation Remains in Check

September brought a positive surprise for the real sector of the Polish economy – especially in industry. After a summer slowdown, where industrial output...

U.S. Sees Record Layoffs in October: Over 153,000 Jobs Cut, While NFP Data Remains Delayed Amid Longest-Ever Government Shutdown

As is customary on the first Friday of the month, investors and analysts typically await the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report....

Fear Politics vs. Reality: Immigrants Are Not a Burden on the U.S. Economy

It is true that immigration to the United States has increased under President Biden’s administration. It is not true, however, that immigrants are taking...

Bank of England Expected to Pause Rate Cuts, New Transparency Measures in Focus

The Bank of England (BoE) is almost certain to keep its main interest rate unchanged at 4%, ending a series of quarterly rate cuts...

Poland’s Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates Again: Reference Rate Now at 4.25%

The Monetary Policy Council (RPP) lowered the National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) interest rates by 25 basis points in November, setting the reference rate...

Inflation Falls, Loan Installments Follow – Poland’s Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points

With inflation falling to 2.8% in October—below the National Bank of Poland’s earlier forecasts of a possible return above 3%—and core inflation visibly declining,...

Inflation in Poland Surprises and Opens the Door to a Rate Cut in November

Inflation in October was recorded at 2.80%, below the market expectation of 3.00%. This is a strong surprise and marks the lowest reading since...

Inflation in Poland Continues to Decline Despite Higher Energy and Fuel Costs, Economists Surprised by the Result

Inflation in Poland has fallen again. According to a flash estimate by Statistics Poland (GUS), inflation in October stood at 2.8% year-on-year, down slightly...

ECB in Wait-and-See Mode: December Forecasts to Determine Future Monetary Policy Direction

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept interest rates unchanged yesterday, maintaining the deposit rate at 2% for the third consecutive time. The decision was...

Poland to Receive Over PLN 26 Billion from the National Recovery Plan in Early December

The Ministry of Funds and Regional Policy has announced that Poland will receive more than PLN 26 billion from the fourth and fifth payment...

Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points — signals continued caution

The U.S. Federal Reserve has decided to cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing the target range down to 3.75–4.00 percent....
Latest news

Russia Welcomes Trump’s New U.S. National Security Strategy

Russia has welcomed the new National Security Strategy unveiled by the administration of President...

Poland’s Housing Market Finds Balance in 2025: Rate Cuts, Record Supply and Only Mild Price Growth Ahead of an Optimistic 2026

After four years of dynamic shifts, 2025 brought long-awaited stability to the housing market. The key drivers were interest rate cuts and a record-high...

Poles Plan a Frugal Christmas: Average Spending Steady at PLN 1,589, Most Rely on Current Income and Savings

The vast majority of Poles will cover their Christmas expenses from current income or savings, and only a small group will turn to additional...

Decarbonising Aviation: Why Costly SAF Could Become Poland’s Big Opportunity in a Net-Zero Sky

Today, the biggest barrier is the price of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), which is still higher than substantial carbon-pricing obligations. This may, however, represent...

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