Tag: Roman Ziruk

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Markets Stay Calm Despite Russian Drone Provocations. Fed Decision and Macro Data in Focus

Reports of Russian drones entering Polish airspace did not cause significant weakening of the zloty, and the currency has already recovered all its losses...

ECB Set to Cut Rates Again – But What Comes Next Is Uncertain

There is little doubt that the European Central Bank's Governing Council will deliver its eighth rate cut in the current cycle this Thursday. However,...

Nawrocki Victory Brings Uncertainty; RPP Expected to Hold Rates

The market’s reaction to Karol Nawrocki’s win has been moderate, as anticipated. The scale of the post-election sell-off of Polish assets is not strong,...

Markets Await the Second Round of Presidential Elections: Political Stability Key for the Zloty

Early data on retail sales in April may reinforce a "wait and see" stance among members of the Monetary Policy Council. These figures represent...

The Pound Struggles in the Shadow of the Euro but Holds Long-Term Upside – GBP Forecasts for 2025–2026

Since the announcement of retaliatory tariffs by Donald Trump, the British pound (GBP) has clearly underperformed the euro, despite the relatively limited direct impact...

EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Gains Safe-Haven Status Amid Tariff Turmoil, Analysts Expect Continued Strength Through 2026

The euro has emerged as a de facto safe-haven currency and the best alternative to the U.S. dollar in the wake of the so-called...

Crisis of Confidence in the U.S.: Dollar Forecasts for 2025–2026 Turn Bearish After Trump’s Tariffs

Donald Trump’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs on April 2 triggered one of the most notable episodes of dollar weakness since the global financial crisis....

Polish Central Bank Cuts Rates, but Glapiński Tempers Expectations for Further Easing

On Wednesday, the Monetary Policy Council (RPP) cut interest rates by 50 basis points, bringing the reference rate down to 5.25%. While the market...

Who Will Survive the Tariff Wave? A Hot Week Ahead for Markets

Markets are on edge ahead of the expected announcement of mutual tariffs this Wednesday. The U.S. dollar stands at a crossroads—on one hand, it...

A More Stable Week on the Currency Markets

The past week on the foreign exchange markets was relatively calm. The market has stabilized after recent upheavals, and the introduction of additional tariffs...

Germany Elects a New Government – Is a Turning Point for the Euro Ahead?

While political attention is currently focused on Donald Trump, a new government will be elected in Germany on February 23. Will this serve as...

Tariffs on the EU? The euro rate under pressure following suggestions from the Trump administration

The Trump administration has already hinted that the next trade restrictions will hit the EU. Preliminary reports suggest that this could involve tariffs of...

Persistent Dollar Strength Driven by Higher Bond Yields and Economic Momentum

The Unending Dollar Rally Continues Another Week, Driven by Higher U.S. Bond Yields and Signs that the World's Largest Economy is Gaining Momentum Again. Key...

Weak PMI data sink euro, and the zloty faces new challenges

Geopolitical concerns due to tensions between Russia and Ukraine have had an impact on the Polish Zloty for the first time in two years....
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