BCC: Consumer Sentiment Continues to Decline

In November 2024, the Consumer Confidence Index (BWUK) dropped by 1.3 percentage points month-on-month, reaching minus 17.1 points, according to research conducted by the Central Statistical Office. The sentiment indicator...

October Inflation in Poland at 4.1%: What It Means for Future Rate Decisions

We have received the final October reading of Polish inflation today. It stands at...

Geopolitical tension hit the Warsaw Stock Exchange

Another failed attempt to break through the resistance in the world's main currency pair....

War Back in the Forefront Again. Global Tensions and Their Consequences

The post-election relaxation of rules by the Biden administration has had a noticeable impact...

High energy prices postpone interest rate cuts in Poland

The Polish economy - like most European economies - is heavily dependent on the...

Salaries in Poland are rising, employment is falling

The growth in wages in the Polish private sector accelerated in August to 11.1% year on year (market estimates were 10.8% year on...

Fed Cuts Interest Rates: Powell Reassures Markets Amid Economic Strength and Avoids Recession Fears

The Fed has cut interest rates more significantly, but at the same time, it didn't frighten the market with fears of a recession. Powell...

Not only Poland threatened by excessive deficit

Poland has been subjected to the Excessive Deficit Procedure. What is the Excessive Deficit Procedure? It is initiated by the European Commission when the...

Fed’s Aggressive Rate Cut Signals Victory Over Inflation and Shifts Focus to Labor Market

The Fed has decided on a 50 basis points cut, which means that the vast majority of economists were wrong in their predictions, but...

Ukraine’s entry into the EU may still take many years. It could have a significant impact on Polish agriculture and labor market

Ukraine's accession to the EU will mean significant changes for Polish agriculture and potential problems in the labor market. On the other hand, it...

Fed Surprises with Aggressive Interest Rate Cut and Signals Further Reductions

The Federal Reserve made an unexpected cut in interest rates by 50 basis points, surprising the market, even though the probability of such a...

The FED is as unpredictable as never before. Will it decide on a stronger move before the elections?

The Federal Reserve has not been this unpredictable for a long time. However, markets are increasingly leaning towards a larger cut. Good data from...

Inflation Readings Day

Tuesday morning passed under the dictate of inflation readings. Recently these data are better in that they do not cause horror like last year....

Fed Prepares for First Rate Cut Since 2020

After last week's decision by the European Central Bank (EBC) to lower interest rates in the Eurozone, we expect the Federal Reserve (FED) to...

Polish budget for 2025 increases spending and inflation risk, pushing away interest rate cuts – long-term fiscal risk grows

The European Central Bank (EBC) has lowered interest rates and, according to expectations, the Federal Reserve (FED) will do the same next week. In...

Challenges in Public Finance Management: Record Deficit and Rising Budget Expenditures in 2025

Managing public finances will pose a challenge in the coming years. The 2025 budget is optimistic but assumes a massive deficit. The government will...

CPI Inflation in the U.S. Approaches Target

CPI inflation in the U.S. reached 2.5% year-over-year in August. The inflation rate has been declining for consecutive months, getting closer to the target....

The European Central Bank Set to Cut Rates Again as Inflation Nears Target, with a Gradual Easing Cycle Ahead

We expect that at the next meeting on September 12, the European Central Bank (EBC) will lower the deposit rate for the second...

BCC warns of excessive deficit risk and calls for budget spending cuts for 2025.

In the justification for the 2025 budget bill, one of the government's main goals is the restoration of parliamentary and societal control over the...

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