Inflation in Poland stood at 2.5% year on year in June 2026, exactly matching both Statistics Poland’s earlier flash estimate and the inflation target set by the Monetary Policy Council. On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell by 0.5%, mainly due to lower fuel prices.
According to Statistics Poland, service prices rose by 5.4% year on year in June 2026, while goods prices increased by 1.3%. Compared with May, goods prices fell by 0.9%, whereas service prices rose by 0.6%.
Beginning with data for 2026, the Consumer Price Index is calculated using the new international COICOP 2018 classification. Statistics Poland notes that this represents a methodological change compared with earlier publications.
Inflation Exactly at the NBP Target
Poland’s CPI inflation rate in June 2026 was exactly in line with the Monetary Policy Council’s target of 2.5%, within a tolerance range of plus or minus one percentage point.
The result reflects a clear downward trend observed during the first months of 2026. Inflation stood at 3.2% in April and 3.1% in May, after remaining within a range of 2.1% to 2.4% around the turn of 2025 and 2026.
The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, or HICP, which is used for comparisons between EU countries, has remained close to Poland’s domestic CPI rate in recent months.
What Became Cheaper: Fuel Pulled Inflation Down
Compared with May 2026, the largest downward impact on the overall index came from lower prices of fuels and lubricants for personal transport equipment. This category reduced the monthly inflation rate by 0.42 percentage points.
As a result, the broader transport category, where prices fell by 4.4% month on month, lowered the overall index by 0.45 percentage points.
Fruit and nuts also became cheaper, reducing the index by 0.12 percentage points, while lower vegetable prices reduced it by a further 0.07 percentage points. Overall, food and non-alcoholic beverage prices fell by 0.7% month on month.
Clothing and footwear prices declined by 1.7% compared with May, reducing the index by 0.06 percentage points.
The strongest upward pressure came from recreation, sport and culture, where prices rose by 1.5% month on month and added 0.10 percentage points to the index.
Restaurants and accommodation services increased by 0.5%, while alcoholic beverages and tobacco products rose by 0.6%. Each of these categories added 0.03 percentage points to the monthly inflation rate.
What Rose the Most Year on Year: Housing, Recreation and Healthcare
On an annual basis, the largest contribution to inflation came from the cost of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels. Prices in this category rose by 4.9% year on year, adding 1.00 percentage point to the overall CPI rate.
Prices for recreation, sport and culture increased by 5.2%, contributing 0.33 percentage points.
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco products became 6.5% more expensive and added 0.32 percentage points, while healthcare prices rose by 5.0%, contributing 0.31 percentage points.
Prices for restaurants and accommodation services increased by 4.5%, adding 0.25 percentage points to the annual inflation rate. Information and communication prices rose by 4.0%, contributing a further 0.20 percentage points.
The annual rate was reduced by lower prices for clothing and footwear, which fell by 3.1% and lowered the index by 0.12 percentage points.
Food and non-alcoholic beverages, as well as furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance, each reduced the annual inflation rate by 0.06 percentage points.
Full Breakdown by Category
| Category | Year on year, June 2025 = 100 | Month on month, May 2026 = 100 | Impact on the index, percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 102.5 | 99.5 | — |
| Food and non-alcoholic beverages | 99.8 | 99.3 | -0.17 |
| Alcoholic beverages and tobacco | 106.5 | 100.6 | +0.03 |
| Clothing and footwear | 96.9 | 98.3 | -0.06 |
| Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels | 104.9 | 99.9 | -0.02 |
| Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance | 98.9 | 99.8 | -0.01 |
| Health | 105.0 | 100.2 | +0.01 |
| Transport | 101.3 | 95.6 | -0.45 |
| Information and communication | 104.0 | 100.4 | +0.02 |
| Recreation, sport and culture | 105.2 | 101.5 | +0.10 |
| Education | 106.0 | 100.1 | 0.00 |
| Restaurants and accommodation services | 104.5 | 100.5 | +0.03 |
| Insurance and financial services | 102.1 | 101.0 | +0.01 |
| Personal care, social protection and miscellaneous goods and services | 102.2 | 100.5 | +0.02 |
Two categories deserve particular attention because they have the largest weights in Poland’s consumer price basket.
Food and non-alcoholic beverages, which account for 25.91% of the CPI basket in 2026, recorded another annual price decline, with prices falling by 0.2%.
By contrast, housing and utility costs, which represent 20.35% of the basket, increased by 4.9% year on year. These two categories therefore have the greatest influence on the overall direction of inflation.
Weighting system used to calculate the Consumer Price Index in 2026 under the COICOP 2018 classification. Source: Statistics Poland.
Inflation returning exactly to the NBP target for the first time in a considerable period suggests that price pressures in the Polish economy have stabilised.
However, lower fuel prices, rather than a lasting slowdown in service price growth, remain the main factor bringing the headline rate back towards the target. Service inflation was still running at 5.4% year on year in June.
Beginning with data for 2026, the CPI is calculated in accordance with the international COICOP 2018 classification. Statistics Poland notes that this methodological change may affect the comparability of current data with figures from periods before 2026.
Source: Statistics Poland. Original analysis based on data published by Statistics Poland.
