Economic forecasts for 2025 come with a wide margin of error, largely due to unpredictable shifts in U.S. policy that significantly impact the European economy. Nevertheless, analysts anticipate that 2025 may mark a period of stronger economic development for Poland, improving upon the outcomes seen in 2024.
Inflation is expected to stabilize throughout the year, with projections indicating it will hover around 4%. Similarly, international institutions forecast Poland’s GDP growth at approximately 4% for the year. A cooling in the pace of wage growth could also ease labor cost pressures on businesses.
However, managing uncertainty requires flexibility and a readiness to adapt to changing conditions — a key factor in ensuring the Polish economy’s resilience in the coming years.
“Despite some early positive indicators, there are potential disruptors on the horizon that could derail these forecasts,” said Mariusz Zielonka, Chief Economist at the Lewiatan Confederation, in an interview with eNewsroom.pl. “It’s crucial to account for events that may unfold in the next few months. For example, if Donald Trump imposes new sanctions on the European Union, and the EU retaliates, this could trigger a deterioration in economic conditions.”
Zielonka also pointed to ongoing challenges in Germany’s industrial sector and the weakening British economy — both of which could impact Poland due to strong economic interconnections.
“As of now, we don’t foresee any major negative developments that would push economic growth below 3% in 2025,” Zielonka added.
Source: ceo.com.pl – Poland’s Economic Outlook for 2025: Inflation, GDP, and Global Policy Risks
