As predicted last week, average prices for gasoline and diesel fuel remained stable, dropping by a symbolic 2 groszy per liter. Although wholesale prices rose slightly, they continue to hover around levels seen between November and December. Projections for the coming week suggest similar trends: any price changes will be minimal, ranging from 1 to 2 groszy per liter.
On the international market, Brent crude oil has gained value, surpassing $76 per barrel — a level last recorded in October. This increase is driven by anticipated changes in global energy policy, the potential tightening of sanctions on Iran, and growing interest in alternative propulsion technologies.
Experts highlight that the global oil market is at a turning point, with surprising shifts potentially ahead in the coming year. Three key factors will play a pivotal role:
- China in Focus – China’s oil demand, projected to peak between 2025 and 2027, is expected to act as a stabilizing force, counteracting sharp price increases.
- OPEC+ and Iranian Sanctions – Potential disruptions in oil supply linked to OPEC+ policies or renewed sanctions on Iran could destabilize prices in 2025.
- India’s Growing Demand – Rapidly increasing oil demand in India, alongside the possibility of oversupply, will further shape market dynamics.
In the short term, price fluctuations at Polish fuel stations are expected to remain minor. However, in the longer term, the market may become more unpredictable, particularly impacting sectors such as logistics. Experts suggest that effective fuel planning, taking advantage of favorable pricing opportunities, will be crucial to controlling costs.
While forecasts indicate a relatively calm year ahead, global trends — from the rise of electromobility to geopolitical shifts — may inject uncertainty into the oil market. Therefore, monitoring both local and international developments will be essential for understanding the future of fuel prices.
The current stability at Polish fuel stations is good news for drivers, but businesses should prepare for potential price volatility in the future. The year 2025 is shaping up to be a time of challenges and transformation, and the fuel market remains a critical area to watch in the global economy.
Author: Marcin Wawrzkiewicz, Country Manager at Malcom Finance
Source: Manager Plus
